Game 11: Texans @ Lions *Thanksgiving* Thread

[grandy]

Houston Texans (3-7) @ Detroit Lions (4-6)

Previews
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ESPN
Battle Red Blog


Injury Report
Link (from Wednesday)

Lions
CB Mike Ford (concussion) - OUT
DL Da?Shawn Hand (groin) - OUT
CB Jeff Okudah (shoulder) - OUT
WR Kenny Golladay (hip) - OUT
WR Danny Amendola (hip) - OUT
DE Austin Bryant (thigh) - OUT
RB D?Andre Swift (concussion) - Questionable
LB Reggie Ragland (ankle) - Questionable
CB Amani Oruwariye (back) - Questionable

Texans
TBD


Series History
Link
The Lions are 1-3 against the Texans
Last Game: 10/30/2016, Texans 20 Lions 13
Last Game in Detroit: 11/22/2012, Texans 34 Lions 31
Last Win: 9/19/2004, Lions 28 Texans 16
Recent Games: The Texans have won the last 3 meetings

 

[grandy]

Football Outsiders Stats

Ranks in parentheses. For info on acronyms and definitions, click on the links.

Team Efficiency

Total DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average)
Detroit -7.3% (19th)
Houston -9.3% (20th)

Weighted DVOA (DVOA adjusted for recent games)
Detroit -8.7% (20th)
Houston -11.4% (23rd)

Offense DVOA
Houston 2.4% (14th)
Detroit 0.7% (15th)

Defense DVOA
Detroit 8.1% (25th)
Houston 12.0% (29th)

Special Teams DVOA
Houston 0.3% (15th)
Detroit 0.2% (17th)


Team Offense

Weighted Offense DVOA
Houston 1.0% (14th)
Detroit -0.4% (17th)

Pass Offense
Houston 28.5% (8th)
Detroit 15.8% (18th)

Rush Offense
Detroit -16.1% (22nd)
Houston -38.0% (32nd)


Team Defense

Weighted Defense DVOA
Detroit 7.9% (24th)
Houston 12.8% (29th)

Pass Defense
Detroit 15.8% (23rd)
Houston 20.0% (24th)

Rush Defense
Detroit -1.3% (24th)
Houston 2.9% (31st)


Offensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Detroit 3.97 (21st)
Houston 3.63 (32nd)

Power Success
Detroit 70% (10th)
Houston 67% (17th)

Stuffed
Houston 18.8% (23rd)
Detroit 19.7% (28th)

2nd Level Yards
Detroit 1.11 (21st)
Houston 0.84 (32nd)

Open Field Yards
Detroit 0.71 (13th)
Houston 0.44 (23rd)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Detroit 7.6% (26th)
Houston 8.1% (30th)


Defensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Detroit 4.80 (28th)
Houston 4.88 (31st)

Power Success
Houston 57% (6th)
Detroit 77% (29th)

Stuffed
Houston 15.1% (22nd)
Detroit 12.2% (28th)

2nd Level Yards
Detroit 1.32 (24th)
Houston 1.43 (29th)

Open Field Yards
Detroit 0.80 (23rd)
Houston 1.34 (32nd)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Houston 7.2% (10th)
Detroit 4.4% (27th)


Drive Stats

Net Yards/Drive
Houston -4.94 (28th)
Detroit -7.25 (30th)

Net Points/Drive
Houston -0.38 (24th)
Detroit -0.55 (29th)

Net DSR (Drive Success Rate)
Houston -0.051 (29th)
Detroit -0.070 (31st)

Offense Yards/Drive
Houston 36.61 (12th)
Detroit 32.79 (22nd)

Offense Points/Drive
Houston 2.29 (16th)
Detroit 2.12 (22nd)

Offense DSR
Houston 0.730 (21st)
Detroit 0.720 (23rd)

Defense Yards/Drive
Detroit 40.05 (29th)
Houston 41.55 (32nd)

Defense Points/Drive
Detroit 2.68 (26th)
Houston 2.68 (28th)

Defense DSR
Houston 0.781 (29th)
Detroit 0.791 (31st)

 

[turok]

So to finish with both a shitty record and a shitty draft slot, the Lions will likely need to finish 6-10, which means that they will probably win by 3-4 points over Texans.

The NFCE is so awful, that oniy the divlsion-leading Eagals have a better record by only a half-game over only the NFCS Failclowns of the other divisions of the NFC.

Oh...and the Lions currently also have the second-worst negative points differential (-60) in the NFC, and the fifth-worst overall in the NFL.

 

[Mitchrapp]

The NFL has so many terrible teams this season. Lions, who we all deemed stink, is currently picking 11th.

 

[grandy]

The NFL has so many terrible teams this season. Lions, who we all deemed stink, is currently picking 11th.

And 3 out of 4 of their wins came from teams ahead of them in the draft.

At least I can say I'd rather be a Lions fan than a Jets fan right now. As bad as Patricia is, Gase is somehow worse.

 

[Mitchrapp]

And 3 out of 4 of their wins came from teams ahead of them in the draft.

At least I can say I'd rather be a Lions fan than a Jets fan right now. As bad as Patricia is, Gase is somehow worse.

But the Jets will get the big stud college QB.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

No Golladay. No Amendola. Likely no Swift.

No chance. We’re gonna get embarrassed and we will finally dump Patricia.

Lions lose 37-14 Thursday.....Fire Patricia Friday.

Boom.

 

[sggatecl]

But the Jets will get the big stud college QB.

We proved in 2020 that even if we have a shot at a big stud QB, we won't take him.

 

[JScottWriter]

We proved in 2020 that even if we have a shot at a big stud QB, we won't take him.

Exactly, for some reason this team won't move on from Stafford.

 

[biggunsbob]

Shocker Another running back the lions drafted who had a injury history in college is hurt. He hurt his shoulder in 2019, and and had a grade 2 groin injury in 2018. I just don’t trust the lions when it comes to picking guys with injury histories. Hopefully he can recover because he is pretty good. Can’t believe how bad we are and still will probably win 6 to 7 games. Patrica and Quinn have to go.

 

[Mitchrapp]

We proved in 2020 that even if we have a shot at a big stud QB, we won't take him.

Truth to that.

 

[mhughes0021]

The battle of which bellichek failed DC has a shittier defense.

 

[LKP]

Happy thanksgiving all..Go Lions

 

[thehippo73]

The battle of which bellichek failed DC has a shittier defense.

HAHAHA

Belichick has gotten more coaches hired as head coaches that didn't deserve it than any other coach in history. I guess you could add Brady to that as well.

 

[mhughes0021]

trufant is brutal.

 

[mhughes0021]

griffin has been a monster. Keep him. Trade flowers who doesnt do shit.

 

[mhughes0021]

why didnt hock run to the sideline...ran right to the safety? our team is just so dumb.

 

[thehippo73]

Nice start. Let's just keep scoring and not let the foot off the gas.

 

[mhughes0021]

JONES!!! youre supposed to be a linebacker! tackle him!

 

[boogerlovejoy]

Happy thanksgiving guys! Hope everyone here is healthy....even you LKP.

Boys are playing good ball so far.

Never mind....Watt pick 6