Game 16: Packers @ Lions Thread and end of season grades, reviews, etc.

[grandy]

Green Bay Packers (12-3) @ Detroit Lions (3-10-1)

Previews
Pride of Detroit
Yahoo
CBS Sports
ESPN
Acme Packing Company


Injury Report
Link (from Friday)

Lions
DT A?Shawn Robinson (shoulder) - Out
LB Devon Kennard (shoulder) - Questionable
LB Steve Longa (quad) - Questionable
K Matt Prater (illness) - Questionable
RT Rick Wagner (knee) - Questionable
S Tavon Wilson (hamstring) - Questionable

Packers
S Will Redmond (hamstring) - Doubtful
FB Danny Vitale (knee) - Doubtful
RB Jamaal Williams (shoulder) - Doubtful
WR Jake Kumerow (illness) - Questionable


Series History
Link
The Lions are 72-99-7 against the Packers
Last Game: 10/14/2019, Packers 23 Lions 22
Last Win: 12/30/2018, Lions 31 Packers 0
Last Game in Detroit: 10/7/2018, Lions 31 Packers 23
Last Loss in Detroit: 1/1/2017, Packers 31 Lions 24
Recent Games: The Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings

 

[grandy]

Football Outsiders Stats

Ranks in parentheses. For info on acronyms and definitions, click on the links.

Team Efficiency

Total DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average)
Green Bay 9.9% (9th)
Detroit -13.3% (25th)

Weighted DVOA (DVOA adjusted for recent games)
Green Bay 7.7% (11th)
Detroit -22.5% (29th)

Offense DVOA
Green Bay 8.3% (7th)
Detroit -3.0% (19th)

Defense DVOA
Green Bay -1.2% (15th)
Detroit 11.7% (28th)

Special Teams DVOA
Detroit 1.4% (9th)
Green Bay 0.4% (15th)


Team Offense

Weighted Offense DVOA
Green Bay 7.1% (8th)
Detroit -6.4% (21st)

Pass Offense
Green Bay 19.8% (11th)
Detroit 15.1% (15th)

Rush Offense
Green Bay 10.2% (3rd)
Detroit -15.3% (27th)


Team Defense

Weighted Defense DVOA
Green Bay 0.6% (17th)
Detroit 17.7% (29th)

Pass Defense
Green Bay 0.2% (11th)
Detroit 27.5% (29th)

Rush Defense
Detroit -8.4% (19th)
Green Bay -2.9% (22nd)


Offensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Green Bay 4.58 (5th)
Detroit 4.14 (21st)

Power Success
Detroit 67% (13th)
Green Bay 57% (27th)

Stuffed
Green Bay 18% (12th)
Detroit 19% (15th)

2nd Level Yards
Green Bay 1.29 (9th)
Detroit 1.05 (25th)

Open Field Yards
Green Bay 0.73 (18th)
Detroit 0.41 (29th)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Green Bay 6.6% (13th)
Detroit 7.4% (21st)


Defensive Lines

Adjusted Line Yards
Detroit 4.53 (24th)
Green Bay 4.95 (32nd)

Power Success
Green Bay 71% (25th)
Detroit 78% (31st)

Stuffed
Green Bay 13% (31st)
Detroit 13% (32nd)

2nd Level Yards
Detroit 1.06 (8th)
Green Bay 1.26 (24th)

Open Field Yards
Detroit 0.50 (4th)
Green Bay 0.74 (20th)

Adjusted Sack Rate
Green Bay 7.7% (10th)
Detroit 5.2% (30th)


Drive Stats

Net Yards/Drive
Green Bay 0.21 (17th)
Detroit -5.45 (28th)

Net Points/Drive
Green Bay 0.41 (9th)
Detroit -0.53 (26th)

Net DSR (Drive Success Rate)
Green Bay 0.023 (13th)
Detroit -0.052 (27th)

Offense Yards/Drive
Green Bay 32.69 (12th)
Detroit 31.14 (19th)

Offense Points/Drive
Green Bay 2.23 (8th)
Detroit 1.80 (22nd)

Offense DSR
Green Bay 0.718 (13th)
Detroit 0.688 (23rd)

Defense Yards/Drive
Green Bay 32.48 (17th)
Detroit 36.59 (29th)

Defense Points/Drive
Green Bay 1.82 (9th)
Detroit 2.33 (27th)

Defense DSR
Green Bay 0.694 (11th)
Detroit 0.741 (28th)

 

[grandy]

I did a quick run through of all the draft pick scenarios between Washington, Detroit, NY Giants, and Miami. I'm going to assume that the Lions will have the highest SoS after today due to playing GB (Miami is playing NE but currently has a lower SoS).

2nd pick
Loss and Washington Win

3rd pick
Loss and Washington Loss or Tie
Tie with NY and Miami both Win/Tie
Win with NY and Miami both Win

4th pick
Tie with one of NY or Miami Loss (the other needs to Win)
Win with one of NY or Miami Loss/Tie (the other needs to Win)

5th pick
Tie or Win with both NY and Miami Loss/Tie

So a loss will guarantee a top 3 pick
A tie or win could be anywhere from 3-5 depending on what NY and Miami do

Dallas and Philadelphia are still playing for the division title and a playoff spot
NE and GB are playing for byes

 

[tinselwolverine]

Apparently, the brain trusts at the Los Angeles Fox affiliate have decided this game is its best option to air in its time slot.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

Aaron Rodgers went to Cal

 

[tinselwolverine]

Most of the country is getting this game.

Makes sense. The Lions are the league’s most popular team.

 

[mhughes0021]

that was the worst looking run play i ever seen. Pulled everyone to run right then gave it to Bo to the left infront of 3 unblocked players lmao.

 

[Mitchrapp]

that was the worst looking run play i ever seen. Pulled everyone to run right then gave it to Bo to the left infront of 3 unblocked players lmao.

Worse than this..


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wGNr3Yef-2A

 

[boogerlovejoy]

that was the worst looking run play i ever seen. Pulled everyone to run right then gave it to Bo to the left infront of 3 unblocked players lmao.

Plus both the pitch man, Scarborough. And the reverse man were at the same spot....so defenders following either player met at the ball.

My guess is that Blough snapped that early. But that play needs to be Harbaughed.....gotten rid of.

 

[mhughes0021]

not allowed to push the packers to the ground....throw the flag.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

Honestly, how did Golladay get snubbed from the Pro Bowl?

18 ypc
NFL leader in TD
9th in yards

Mostly with David Blough and Jeff Driskel

 

[mhughes0021]

fuck...were winning.

 

[manchild98]

We're going to do the most Lionesque thing ever and win this game. Shit.

 

[dubbsco]

Exactly like last year against GB. Busted out the fake FG. Watch this team roll out all the stops to win this game.

Hate this fucking franchise.

 

[boogerlovejoy]

That’s the Stafford play!!

 

[boogerlovejoy]

We're going to do the most Lionesque thing ever and win this game. Shit.

Everyone said that last week, too. This game is FAR from over. Rodgers is going to get man coverage with zero pressure......GB gonna score a lot.

 

[Mitchrapp]

Exactly like last year against GB. Busted out the fake FG. Watch this team roll out all the stops to win this game.

Hate this fucking franchise.

I hate they wait until last game to do it.

 

[dubbsco]

I hate they wait until last game to do it.

And I will say the exact same thing I did when they did it last year. It's a total slap in the face to the fans. "Hey, look at what we can do!"

 

[tinselwolverine]

The Lions should throw a pass to Blough every play for the rest of the game.

 

[mhughes0021]

Hey Aaron Rodgers...Mike MCcarthy is out there available. You look like shit. Step it up...we need more out of you.